2010 Idaho gubernatorial election













Idaho gubernatorial election, 2010






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Butchotter.jpg
DEM


IND

Nominee
Butch Otter
 Keith G. Allred
 Jana Kemp
Party
Republican
Democratic
Independent
Popular vote
267,483
 148,680
 26,655
Percentage
59.1%
 32.9%
 5.9%



Idaho Governor Election Results by County, 2010.svg
County Results
Otter:
     40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Allred:
     40-50%      50–60%







Governor before election

Butch Otter
Republican
Elected Governor

Butch Otter
Republican















Elections in Idaho





  • v

  • t

  • e


The 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010 to elect the Governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Governor Butch Otter won re-election, defeating his Democratic opponent Keith G. Allred.


A former Lieutenant Governor and U.S. Representative, Otter won an open seat race in 2006 against Democratic Party nominee Jerry Brady with 52.67% of the vote.




Contents






  • 1 Republican primary


    • 1.1 Candidates


    • 1.2 Campaign


    • 1.3 Polling


    • 1.4 Results




  • 2 Democratic primary


    • 2.1 Candidates


      • 2.1.1 Declared


      • 2.1.2 Declined




    • 2.2 Results




  • 3 Third party candidates


    • 3.1 Libertarian Party


    • 3.2 Independents




  • 4 General election


    • 4.1 Campaign


    • 4.2 Predictions


    • 4.3 Polling


    • 4.4 Results




  • 5 References


  • 6 External links





Republican primary



Candidates



  • Walt Bayes, perennial candidate

  • Fred Nichols


  • Butch Otter, Governor of Idaho[1]

  • Pete Peterson (endorsed independent candidate Jana Kemp, but still filed for the primary[2])


  • Rex Rammell, veterinarian, conservative activist and independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008[3]

  • Sharon Ullman, Ada County Commissioner[4]

  • Tamara Wells



Campaign


Both Rammell and Ullman sought support from followers of the Tea Party movement by criticizing Otter's 2009 attempt to raise Idaho's gas tax.[5]


In August 2009, Rammell drew criticism for joking about buying a license to hunt President Barack Obama.[6]



Polling





























Poll
source
 Date(s)
administered
 Sample
size
 Margin of
error
 Walt
Bayes
 Butch
Otter
 Ron"Pete"
Peterson
 Rex
Rammell
 Sharon
Ullman
 Tamara
Wells
 Un-
decided

Mason-Dixon (report[permanent dead link])
 May 17–19, 2010
 625
 ± 4.0%
 1%
60%
 3%
 6%
 4%
 1%
 25%


Results




Results by county:

  Otter—70–80%

  Otter—60–70%

  Otter—50–60%

  Otter—40–50%

  Rammell—40–50%

  Rammell—50–60%



































































Republican primary results[7]
Party
 Candidate
 Votes
 %


Republican
Butch Otter (incumbent)
89,117
54.6


Republican
 Rex Rammell
 42,436
 26.0


Republican
 Sharon Ullman
 13,749
 8.4


Republican
 Pete Peterson
 8,402
 5.2


Republican
 Walt Bayes
 4,825
 3.0


Republican
 Tamara Wells
 4,544
 2.8


Republican
 Fred Nichols
 38
 0.0
Total votes
163,111
100


Democratic primary



Candidates



Declared




  • Keith G. Allred, activist and mediator[8]

  • Lee Chaney, laborer[9]



Declined


  • Jerry Brady, nominee for governor in 2002 and 2006[10]


Results




Results by county:

  Allred—80–90%

  Allred—70–80%

  Allred—60–70%

  Allred—50–60%
































Democratic primary results[7]
Party
 Candidate
 Votes
 %


Democratic
Keith Allred
22,386
81.7


Democratic
 Lee Chaney
 5,026
 18.3
Total votes
27,412
100


Third party candidates



Libertarian Party


  • Ted Dunlap


Independents



  • Jana Kemp, former Republican State Representative[2]


  • Pro-Life (formerly known as Marvin Richardson), organic strawberry farmer, Constitution Party nominee for governor in 2006 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008[11]



General election



Campaign


Between January 1 and May 9, 2010, Allred led Otter in fundraising, having raised $241,000 to Otter's $193,000. Allred said, "We are picking up momentum and are right where we want to be." However, Otter limited his fundraising activity while the Idaho Legislature was in session.[12]


Allred has criticized Otter for backing cuts to public education spending, which led the Idaho Association of Commerce and Industry to launch a website attacking Allred.[5]



Predictions






































Source
 Ranking
 As of

Cook Political Report
 Solid R[13]
 September 30, 2010

Rothenberg
 Safe R[14]
 October 15, 2010
Swing State Project
 Likely R[citation needed]

RealClearPolitics
 Safe R[15]
 October 16, 2010

Sabato's Crystal Ball
 Likely R[16]
 October 14, 2010

CQ Politics
 Likely R[17]
 October 16, 2010


Polling

































Poll source
 Dates administered
 Butch Otter (R)
 Keith Allred (D)

Rasmussen Reports
 August 31, 2010
52%
 36%

Rasmussen Reports
 July 15, 2010
53%
 36%

Rasmussen Reports
 May 11, 2010
54%
 32%

Rasmussen Reports
 March 23, 2010
60%
 28%


Results








































































Idaho gubernatorial election, 2010[18]
Party
 Candidate
 Votes
 %
 ±


Republican
Butch Otter
267,483
59.11%
+6.44%


Democratic
Keith G. Allred
 148,680
 32.85%
 -11.25%


Independent
 Jana M. Kemp
 26,655
 5.89%


Libertarian
 Ted Dunlap
 5,867
 1.30%
 -0.31%


Independent
Pro-Life
 3,850
 0.85%
 -0.77%
Majority
 118,803
 26.25%
 +17.69%

Turnout
 452,535



Republican hold
Swing



References





  1. ^ "Gov. Otter files candidacy papers for re-election". KBOI-TV. March 12, 2010. Archived from the original on July 18, 2011. Retrieved March 15, 2010..mw-parser-output cite.citation{font-style:inherit}.mw-parser-output q{quotes:"""""""'""'"}.mw-parser-output code.cs1-code{color:inherit;background:inherit;border:inherit;padding:inherit}.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-free a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/65/Lock-green.svg/9px-Lock-green.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-limited a,.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-registration a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d6/Lock-gray-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-gray-alt-2.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-subscription a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/aa/Lock-red-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-red-alt-2.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration{color:#555}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription span,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration span{border-bottom:1px dotted;cursor:help}.mw-parser-output .cs1-hidden-error{display:none;font-size:100%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-visible-error{font-size:100%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration,.mw-parser-output .cs1-format{font-size:95%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-left,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-left{padding-left:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-right,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-right{padding-right:0.2em}


  2. ^ ab "Three in, one out in Guv's race". The Spokesman-Review. March 8, 2010. Retrieved March 15, 2010.


  3. ^ Kunz, Aaron (May 13, 2009). "Rex Rammell Announcement To Run For Governor". KPVI-DT. Archived from the original on July 13, 2011. Retrieved March 15, 2010.


  4. ^ "Ada County Commissioner Sharon Ullman will run for governor in 2010". Idaho Statesman. July 14, 2009. Archived from the original on February 8, 2013. Retrieved March 15, 2010.


  5. ^ ab Miller, John (May 25, 2010). "Otter, Allred win their Idaho primaries". Idaho State Journal. Retrieved June 6, 2010.


  6. ^ "Idaho Republican, governor hopeful Rex Rammell makes 'Obama tags' joke about hunting President Obama". Daily News. August 28, 2009. Retrieved March 15, 2010.


  7. ^ ab "Idaho Governor Primary Results". The Associated Press. May 25, 2010. Retrieved May 25, 2010.


  8. ^ Popkey, Dan (December 11, 2009). "Keith Allred will run as a Democrat in Idaho's race for governor". Idaho Statesman. Retrieved March 15, 2010.


  9. ^ Kunz, Aaron (July 7, 2009). "Lee Chaney Runs for Governor as Democrat". KPVI-DT. Archived from the original on July 13, 2011. Retrieved March 15, 2009.


  10. ^ Brady done, but other Idaho Dems consider running again Accessed 16 August 2007 Archived July 18, 2011, at the Wayback Machine.


  11. ^ "Pro-Life For Governor, 2010". ProLifeIdaho.com. Retrieved March 15, 2010.


  12. ^ Iverson-Long, Brad (May 18, 2010). "Allred leading Otter in fundraising so far in 2010". Idaho Reporter. Retrieved June 6, 2010.


  13. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 16, 2010.


  14. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 16, 2010.


  15. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 16, 2010.


  16. ^ "2010 Governor Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 16, 2010.


  17. ^ "Races for Governor in 2010". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on June 11, 2010. Retrieved October 16, 2010.


  18. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2012-09-22. Retrieved 2012-10-06.CS1 maint: Archived copy as title (link)




External links




  • Idaho Office of Elections[permanent dead link]


  • Idaho Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart


  • Campaign contributions for 2010 Idaho Governor from Follow the Money


  • Idaho Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com


  • 2010 Idaho Gubernatorial General Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com


  • Election 2010: Idaho Governor from Rasmussen Reports


  • 2010 Idaho Governor Race: Otter vs. Allred from Real Clear Politics


  • 2010 Idaho Governor's Race from CQ Politics


  • Race Profile in The New York Times


Official campaign websites (Archived)


  • Butch Otter for Re-election

  • Rex Rammell for Governor

  • Keith Allred for Governor










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