2010 Idaho gubernatorial election
 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||
 County Results Otter: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Allred: 40-50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||
| Elections in Idaho | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | ||||||||
Federal government
| ||||||||
State government
| ||||||||
Ballot measures
| ||||||||
The 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010 to elect the Governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Governor Butch Otter won re-election, defeating his Democratic opponent Keith G. Allred.
A former Lieutenant Governor and U.S. Representative, Otter won an open seat race in 2006 against Democratic Party nominee Jerry Brady with 52.67% of the vote.
Contents
1 Republican primary
1.1 Candidates
1.2 Campaign
1.3 Polling
1.4 Results
2 Democratic primary
2.1 Candidates
2.1.1 Declared
2.1.2 Declined
2.2 Results
3 Third party candidates
3.1 Libertarian Party
3.2 Independents
4 General election
4.1 Campaign
4.2 Predictions
4.3 Polling
4.4 Results
5 References
6 External links
Republican primary
Candidates
- Walt Bayes, perennial candidate
- Fred Nichols
Butch Otter, Governor of Idaho[1]
- Pete Peterson (endorsed independent candidate Jana Kemp, but still filed for the primary[2])
Rex Rammell, veterinarian, conservative activist and independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008[3]
- Sharon Ullman, Ada County Commissioner[4]
- Tamara Wells
Campaign
Both Rammell and Ullman sought support from followers of the Tea Party movement by criticizing Otter's 2009 attempt to raise Idaho's gas tax.[5]
In August 2009, Rammell drew criticism for joking about buying a license to hunt President Barack Obama.[6]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Walt Bayes | Butch Otter | Ron"Pete" Peterson | Rex Rammell | Sharon Ullman | Tamara Wells | Un- decided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon (report[permanent dead link]) | May 17–19, 2010 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 1% | 60% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 25% |
Results
Results by county:
Otter—70–80%
Otter—60–70%
Otter—50–60%
Otter—40–50%
Rammell—40–50%
Rammell—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Butch Otter (incumbent) | 89,117 | 54.6 | |
Republican | Rex Rammell | 42,436 | 26.0 | |
Republican | Sharon Ullman | 13,749 | 8.4 | |
Republican | Pete Peterson | 8,402 | 5.2 | |
Republican | Walt Bayes | 4,825 | 3.0 | |
Republican | Tamara Wells | 4,544 | 2.8 | |
Republican | Fred Nichols | 38 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 163,111 | 100 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Keith G. Allred, activist and mediator[8]
- Lee Chaney, laborer[9]
Declined
- Jerry Brady, nominee for governor in 2002 and 2006[10]
Results
Results by county:
Allred—80–90%
Allred—70–80%
Allred—60–70%
Allred—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Keith Allred | 22,386 | 81.7 | |
Democratic | Lee Chaney | 5,026 | 18.3 | |
| Total votes | 27,412 | 100 | ||
Third party candidates
Libertarian Party
- Ted Dunlap
Independents
- Jana Kemp, former Republican State Representative[2]
Pro-Life (formerly known as Marvin Richardson), organic strawberry farmer, Constitution Party nominee for governor in 2006 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008[11]
General election
Campaign
Between January 1 and May 9, 2010, Allred led Otter in fundraising, having raised $241,000 to Otter's $193,000. Allred said, "We are picking up momentum and are right where we want to be." However, Otter limited his fundraising activity while the Idaho Legislature was in session.[12]
Allred has criticized Otter for backing cuts to public education spending, which led the Idaho Association of Commerce and Industry to launch a website attacking Allred.[5]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
Cook Political Report | Solid R[13] | September 30, 2010 |
Rothenberg | Safe R[14] | October 15, 2010 |
| Swing State Project | Likely R[citation needed] | |
RealClearPolitics | Safe R[15] | October 16, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely R[16] | October 14, 2010 |
CQ Politics | Likely R[17] | October 16, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Butch Otter (R) | Keith Allred (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | August 31, 2010 | 52% | 36% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 15, 2010 | 53% | 36% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 11, 2010 | 54% | 32% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 23, 2010 | 60% | 28% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Butch Otter | 267,483 | 59.11% | +6.44% | |
Democratic | Keith G. Allred | 148,680 | 32.85% | -11.25% | |
Independent | Jana M. Kemp | 26,655 | 5.89% | ||
Libertarian | Ted Dunlap | 5,867 | 1.30% | -0.31% | |
Independent | Pro-Life | 3,850 | 0.85% | -0.77% | |
| Majority | 118,803 | 26.25% | +17.69% | ||
Turnout | 452,535 | ||||
Republican hold | Swing | ||||
References
^ "Gov. Otter files candidacy papers for re-election". KBOI-TV. March 12, 2010. Archived from the original on July 18, 2011. Retrieved March 15, 2010..mw-parser-output cite.citation{font-style:inherit}.mw-parser-output q{quotes:"""""""'""'"}.mw-parser-output code.cs1-code{color:inherit;background:inherit;border:inherit;padding:inherit}.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-free a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/65/Lock-green.svg/9px-Lock-green.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-limited a,.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-registration a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d6/Lock-gray-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-gray-alt-2.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-subscription a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/aa/Lock-red-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-red-alt-2.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration{color:#555}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription span,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration span{border-bottom:1px dotted;cursor:help}.mw-parser-output .cs1-hidden-error{display:none;font-size:100%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-visible-error{font-size:100%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration,.mw-parser-output .cs1-format{font-size:95%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-left,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-left{padding-left:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-right,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-right{padding-right:0.2em}
^ ab "Three in, one out in Guv's race". The Spokesman-Review. March 8, 2010. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
^ Kunz, Aaron (May 13, 2009). "Rex Rammell Announcement To Run For Governor". KPVI-DT. Archived from the original on July 13, 2011. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
^ "Ada County Commissioner Sharon Ullman will run for governor in 2010". Idaho Statesman. July 14, 2009. Archived from the original on February 8, 2013. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
^ ab Miller, John (May 25, 2010). "Otter, Allred win their Idaho primaries". Idaho State Journal. Retrieved June 6, 2010.
^ "Idaho Republican, governor hopeful Rex Rammell makes 'Obama tags' joke about hunting President Obama". Daily News. August 28, 2009. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
^ ab "Idaho Governor Primary Results". The Associated Press. May 25, 2010. Retrieved May 25, 2010.
^ Popkey, Dan (December 11, 2009). "Keith Allred will run as a Democrat in Idaho's race for governor". Idaho Statesman. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
^ Kunz, Aaron (July 7, 2009). "Lee Chaney Runs for Governor as Democrat". KPVI-DT. Archived from the original on July 13, 2011. Retrieved March 15, 2009.
^ Brady done, but other Idaho Dems consider running again Accessed 16 August 2007 Archived July 18, 2011, at the Wayback Machine.
^ "Pro-Life For Governor, 2010". ProLifeIdaho.com. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
^ Iverson-Long, Brad (May 18, 2010). "Allred leading Otter in fundraising so far in 2010". Idaho Reporter. Retrieved June 6, 2010.
^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 16, 2010.
^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 16, 2010.
^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 16, 2010.
^ "2010 Governor Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 16, 2010.
^ "Races for Governor in 2010". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on June 11, 2010. Retrieved October 16, 2010.
^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2012-09-22. Retrieved 2012-10-06.CS1 maint: Archived copy as title (link)
External links
Idaho Office of Elections[permanent dead link]
Idaho Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
Campaign contributions for 2010 Idaho Governor from Follow the Money
Idaho Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
2010 Idaho Gubernatorial General Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
Election 2010: Idaho Governor from Rasmussen Reports
2010 Idaho Governor Race: Otter vs. Allred from Real Clear Politics
2010 Idaho Governor's Race from CQ Politics
Race Profile in The New York Times
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
- Butch Otter for Re-election
- Rex Rammell for Governor
- Keith Allred for Governor
