2018 United States Senate election in Maryland
2018 United States Senate election in Maryland
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The 2018 United States Senate election in Maryland took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Maryland. It was held concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Ben Cardin was re-elected to a third term.
The primary election for the Senate race was held on June 26, 2018.[1]
The incumbent, Ben Cardin, won the Democratic Party primary. In the general election, Cardin was reelected to a third term.[2]Tony Campbell, a professor of political science at Towson University and former Army Chaplain, won the Republican Party primary. If elected, Campbell would have become Maryland's first African-American U.S. Senator.[3][4] Businessman Neal Simon ran as an independent and Arvin Vohra was the Libertarian Party nominee in the general election. There were also several official write-in candidates such as Michael B. Puskar, who ran as an independent.
Contents
1 Democratic primary
1.1 Candidates
1.1.1 Declared
1.1.2 Declined
1.2 Endorsements
1.3 Polling
1.4 Results
2 Republican primary
2.1 Candidates
2.1.1 Declared
2.1.2 Withdrew
2.1.3 Declined
2.2 Endorsements
2.3 Results
3 Libertarian Party
3.1 Candidates
3.1.1 Declared
4 Independents
4.1 Candidates
4.1.1 Declared
5 General election
5.1 Candidates
5.2 Endorsements
5.3 Debates
5.4 Predictions
5.5 Polling
5.6 Results
6 References
7 External links
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Declared[edit]
Ben Cardin, incumbent U.S. Senator[5][6]
- Erik Jetmir[5][6]
Chelsea Manning, whistleblower, former U.S. Army soldier[5][6][7][8]
- Marcia H. Morgan,[5] of Montgomery County[9]
Jerome Segal, political activist and philosopher[5][6]
- Richard "Rikki" Vaughn[5][6], of Baltimore[10]
- Debbie "Rica" Wilson, candidate for MD-05 in 2016,[5] of White Plains[10]
- Lih Young, perennial candidate[5], of Montgomery County[9]
Declined[edit]
John Delaney, U.S. Representative (running for President in 2020)[11]
Donna Edwards, former U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016 (running for Prince George's County Executive)[12]
Elijah Cummings, U.S. Representative[13]
Heather Mizeur, former state delegate[13]
John Sarbanes, U.S. Representative[13]
Endorsements[edit]
| Ben Cardin |
|---|
|
| Chelsea Manning |
|---|
|
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ben Cardin | Chelsea Manning | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Goucher College | February 12–18, 2018 | 409 | ± 4.8% | 61% | 17% | 3% | 19% |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ben Cardin (incumbent) | 450,890 | 80.4 | |
Democratic | Chelsea Manning | 32,201 | 5.7 | |
Democratic | Jerome Segal | 18,774 | 3.3 | |
Democratic | Debbie Wilson | 17,741 | 3.2 | |
Democratic | Marcia H. Morgan | 15,047 | 2.7 | |
Democratic | Lih Young | 9,273 | 1.7 | |
Democratic | Richard Vaughn | 8,844 | 1.6 | |
Democratic | Erik Jetmir | 7,707 | 1.4 | |
| Total votes | 560,477 | 100.0 | ||
(a) Source: Maryland State Board of Elections
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Tony Campbell,[5] of Baltimore County,[9]political science faculty member at Towson University[23]
- Chris Chaffee,[5] candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[24]
- Evan M. Cronhardt,[5] of Anne Arundel County
- Nnabu Eze,[5] of Baltimore County,[9]Green nominee for MD-03 in 2016[25]
- John Graziani, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016 and candidate for MD-04 in 2014[5]
- Christina J. Grigorian, attorney[5]
- Albert Howard[5]
- Bill Krehnbrink, perennial candidate[5]
- Gerald I. Smith, Jr., conspiracy theorist,[5] of Cecil County[9]
- Blaine Taylor, perennial candidate,[5] of Baltimore County[9]
- Brian Charles Vaeth, perennial candidate[5]
Withdrew[edit]
- Sam Faddis, former CIA officer and candidate for MD-05 in 2016[26][27]
Declined[edit]
Larry Hogan, Governor of Maryland since 2015 (running for reelection)
Endorsements[edit]
| Tony Campbell |
|---|
|
| Sam Faddis (withdrew) |
|---|
|
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tony Campbell | 49,428 | 29.2 | |
Republican | Chris Chaffee | 40,869 | 24.2 | |
Republican | Christina J. Grigorian | 29,532 | 17.5 | |
Republican | John Graziani | 14,844 | 8.8 | |
Republican | Blaine Taylor | 8,485 | 5.0 | |
Republican | Gerald I. Smith, Jr. | 7,200 | 4.3 | |
Republican | Brian Vaeth | 5,194 | 3.1 | |
Republican | Evan M. Cronhardt | 4,213 | 2.5 | |
Republican | Bill Krehnbrink | 3,430 | 2.0 | |
Republican | Nnabu Eze | 3,258 | 1.9 | |
Republican | Albert Howard | 2,594 | 1.5 | |
| Total votes | 169,047 | 100.0 | ||
(a) Source: Maryland State Board of Elections
Libertarian Party[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Declared[edit]
Arvin Vohra, vice-chair of the Libertarian National Committee and perennial candidate,[33] of Montgomery County[9]
Independents[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Michael B Puskar, property manager
- Edward Shlikas, home care compliance manager[34]
Neal Simon, businessman[35][36]
General election[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Ben Cardin, Incumbent (D)
Tony Campbell, Professor at Towson University (R)
Arvin Vohra, vice-chair of the Libertarian National Committee (L)
Neal Simon, businessman (I)- Michael B Puskar, property manager (I)
Endorsements[edit]
| Ben Cardin (D) |
|---|
|
| Tony Campbell (R) |
|---|
|
| Neal Simon (I) |
|---|
|
Debates[edit]
On October 7, 2018 Cardin, independent candidate Neal Simon, and Republican candidate Tony Campbell participated in the sole televised debate of the campaign.[46][47][48]
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[49] | Solid D | September 28, 2018 |
Inside Elections[50] | Solid D | November 14, 2017 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[51] | Safe D | November 15, 2017 |
Fox News[52] | Likely D^ | July 9, 2018 |
CNN[53] | Solid D | July 12, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[54] | Safe D | June 2018 |
^Highest rating given
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ben Cardin (D) | Tony Campbell (R) | Neal Simon (I) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research (I-Simon) | October 1–6, 2018 | 806 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 22% | 18% | – | 11% |
Goucher College | September 11–16, 2018 | 472 | ± 4.5% | 56% | 17% | 8% | 1%[55] | 14% |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ben Cardin (incumbent) | 1,491,614 | 64.85% | +8.87% | |
Republican | Tony Campbell | 697,017 | 30.31% | +3.98% | |
Independent | Neal Simon | 85,964 | 3.74% | N/A | |
Libertarian | Arvin Vohra | 22,943 | 1.00% | -0.22% | |
n/a | Write-ins | 2,351 | 0.10% | 0.00% | |
| Total votes | 2,299,889 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold | |||||
References[edit]
^ "United States Senate election in Maryland, 2018". Ballotpedia. Archived from the original on May 2, 2018. Retrieved June 15, 2018..mw-parser-output cite.citation{font-style:inherit}.mw-parser-output q{quotes:"""""""'""'"}.mw-parser-output code.cs1-code{color:inherit;background:inherit;border:inherit;padding:inherit}.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-free a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/65/Lock-green.svg/9px-Lock-green.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-limited a,.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-registration a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d6/Lock-gray-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-gray-alt-2.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-subscription a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/aa/Lock-red-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-red-alt-2.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration{color:#555}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription span,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration span{border-bottom:1px dotted;cursor:help}.mw-parser-output .cs1-hidden-error{display:none;font-size:100%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-visible-error{font-size:100%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration,.mw-parser-output .cs1-format{font-size:95%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-left,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-left{padding-left:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-right,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-right{padding-right:0.2em}
^ "Maryland Primary Election Results". New York Times. June 28, 2018. Retrieved October 18, 2018.
^ Dresser, Michael (October 7, 2018). "U.S. Senate challengers fault Cardin in debate for not solving problems". Baltimore Sun. Retrieved October 17, 2018.CS1 maint: Uses authors parameter (link)
^ Hall, Tom and Sivak, Rob (October 15, 2018). "Tony Campbell: Republican for US Senate". WYPR. Retrieved October 17, 2018.CS1 maint: Uses authors parameter (link)
^ abcdefghijklmnopqrs "2018 Candidate Listing". 2018 Gubernatorial Election. Maryland Board of Elections. June 15, 2018. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
^ abcde "Candidates (criteria: 2018+Senate+Maryland)". Campaign finance data. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
^ Jouvenal, Justin; Portnoy, Jenna (January 13, 2018). "Chelsea Manning files to run for U.S. Senate in Maryland". The Washington Post. Katherine Shaver contributed. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
^ "Chelsea Manning officially files for US Senate race". The Seattle Times. Associated Press. January 18, 2018. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
^ abcdefg Divilio, Daniel (February 22, 2018). "Candidate filing last call Feb. 27 (Pt. 2: Filing)". Kent County News. Chestertown, Maryland. p. A15. Retrieved June 27, 2018 – via Newspapers.com (Publisher Extra).
^ ab "Somebody's already using the 'E' word". Community. The Enterprise. St. Mary's County, Maryland. June 28, 2017. p. A8. Retrieved June 27, 2018 – via Newspapers.com (Publisher Extra).
^ Delaney, John (July 28, 2017). "John Delaney: Why I'm Running for President".
^ Siegel, Rachel; Wiggins, Ovetta (2017-10-05). "Former Maryland congresswoman Donna Edwards to run for county executive". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved 2017-12-14.
^ abc Shurberg, Jonathan (June 7, 2016). "2018: Whither Ben Cardin?". Maryland Scramble.
^ ab "AFSCME Maryland Council 3 2018 Primary Guide".
^ ab "Afro 2018 endorsement guide".
^ ab "LCV Action Fund Endorses Ben Cardin for Reelection". League of Conservation Voters. May 30, 2018.
^ "NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. January 5, 2018.
^ ab "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".
^ ContraPointsLive (24 March 2018). "Discussion with Chelsea Manning" – via YouTube.
^ The Jimmy Dore Show (15 January 2018). "Chelsea Manning Announces Senate Run - Democrats Smear Her" – via YouTube.
^ Secular Talk (15 January 2018). "Chelsea Manning Is Running For Senate, Smug Neoliberals Smear Her" – via YouTube.That's awesome," says Kyle Kulinski of Manning's bid for U.S. Senate. "That's awesome." Summarizing her campaign video, he says: "The government is screwing you. That's the essence of the message.
^ "Linda Sarsour endorses Chelsea Manning for U.S. Senate". The Washington Times. 16 January 2018.
^ "Faculty" (PDF). Faculty Resources. Towson University. October 31, 2016. Political Science. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
^ "2016 Candidate Listing". Maryland State Board of Elections. April 26, 2016. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
^ "2016 Candidate Listing". Maryland State Boad of Elections. April 26, 2016. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
^ Murphy, Jack (May 31, 2017). "Former CIA Officer Sam Faddis running for Senate in Maryland". SOFREP. Retrieved July 17, 2017.
^ Fritze, John (July 14, 2017). "Ben Cardin raises nearly $1M for 2018 reelection". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved July 17, 2017.
^ ab "Twenty One State Senators and Delegates". Campbell 4 Maryland. June 13, 2018.
^ ab "Ellen Sauerbrey Endorsement". Campbell 4 Maryland. May 16, 2018.
^ ab "Campbell4Maryland". www.facebook.com.
^ ab "Former RNC Chairman and Maryland Lieutenant Governor Michael Steele Endorses Tony Campbell". Campbell 4 Maryland. June 13, 2018.
^ abc "I Stand With Sam". Sam Faddis For US Senate.
^ Pyeatt, Jill (July 4, 2017). "Arvin Vohra, Vice Chairman of Libertarian Party, Announces Run for U S Senate". Independent Political Report. Retrieved January 13, 2018.
^ "Shlikas will fix it!". Shlikas for Senate. Retrieved December 20, 2017.
^ "Sen. Ben Cardin may get independent challenger backed by Centrist Project".
^ Fritze, John (February 6, 2018). "An independent candidate for Senate in Maryland says 'it's about change,' as the incumbent files for re-election". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved February 11, 2018.
^ NCPSSM. "Candidates We Endorse and Support".
^ "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. August 23, 2017.
^ Campbell4Maryland. "Tony Campbell has obtained the enthusiastic support of Dr. Ben Carson!". www.facebook.com.
^ "NRA-PVF". Campbell 4 Maryland. June 13, 2018.
^ "Campbell4Maryland". www.facebook.com.
^ ab "Campbell Releases New Endorsements". Red Maryland. September 27, 2018.
^ "FRC Action PAC Announces Endorsement of Dr. Tony Campbell for U.S. Senate". FRC Action. September 18, 2018.
^ 1, 2018 https://twitter.com/nealjsimon/status/1058081395627753474date=November 1, 2018 Check|url=value (help). Missing or empty|title=(help)
^ "Statewide independents roll out national slate". EDWARD-ISAAC DOVERE. February 27, 2018.
^ "Cardin defends record in first Maryland debate for U.S. Senate". Washington Post. Retrieved 2018-10-08.
^ Dresser, Michael. "U.S. Senate challengers fault Cardin in debate for not solving problems". baltimoresun.com. Retrieved 2018-10-08.
^ "Maryland Senate Debate, Oct 7 2018 - Video - C-SPAN.org". www.c-span.org.
^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
^ Arvin Vohra (L) with 1%
^ "2018 Election Results". elections.maryland.gov.
External links[edit]
Candidates at Vote Smart
Candidates at Ballotpedia
Campaign finance at FEC
Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics
- Official campaign websites
- Tony Campbell (R) for U.S. Senate
- Ben Cardin (D) for U.S. Senate
- Neal Simon (I) for U.S. Senate
- Arvin Vohra (L) for U.S. Senate
- Michael B. Puskar (I) for U.S. Senate
Categories:
- United States Senate elections in Maryland
- 2018 United States Senate elections
- 2018 Maryland elections
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